The first phase of Gaza’s ceasefire is near its end (https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2025/02/12/instead-of-luxury-condos-gaza-faces-a-resumption-of-war?utm_campaign=a.io&utm_medium=audio.podcast.np&utm_source=theintelligence&utm_content=discovery.content.anonymous.tr_shownotes_na-na_article&utm_term=sa.listeners), but planning for the even more fraught second phase has hardly begun. What chance for near-term peace? We examine the harmful outcomes from the Trump administration’s