Democrats are in striking distance of flipping Iowa ’s Senate seat in the 2026 midterm elections , according to a new poll from Democratic pollster GBAO on behalf of a center-left group, ModSquad. The new poll, reported by Politico, gave Republican Representative Ashley Hinson narrow leads over Democratic candidates state Representative Josh Turek and state Senator Zach Wahls, in the race to replace retiring Republican Senator Joni Ernst. On the initial ballot, Hinson led Turek by 4 and Wahls