Is this just a brief escalation — or a sign of a longer-term shift that could reshape energy prices and the region's future? Following the US–Iran MOU , oil prices initially fell, though renewed tensions have since triggered short-lived volatility. With disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and ongoing clashes between Lebanon and Israel, the current agreement appears fragile. DW speaks with Simon Mabon, a Middle East politics expert at Lancaster University, about the broader implications of the