The question of how to define victory in the current war with Iran is central to the debate over how the war is going. That makes sense—but it doesn’t account for the minor victories along the way that may turn out to be world-changing. Part of the problem is tunnel vision: If Iran capitulates, we’re told, then it loses. If not, it wins. But what if, while the war seems to be at an interlude (or a standoff, depending on how you look at it), Iran’s coalition is falling apart right before its