As the doubts about Reform grow, Labour’s chances of a second term in government are improving, writes John Rentoul T his month was the first time Reform lost the lead in any mainstream opinion poll since April 2025. BMG Research asked people how they would vote if Andy Burnham were leader, and Labour took the lead by 27 per cent to 26 per cent. You cannot read too much into polls suggesting a Burnham bounce before he has even become prime minister, but Labour is likely to enjoy some increase