GDP growth due to war prolongation to slow down to 2.4% in 2026, defense to require another UAH 775 bln – Budget Declaration
Federaţia Rusă
Longer periods of military operations will lead to a slowdown in the growth of Ukraine's gross domestic product (GDP) from 2.7% this year to 2.4% next year, such an alternative scenario of the Ministry of Economy is contained along with the baseline scenario of accelerating growth to 4.5% in the 2026-2028 Budget Declaration. This scenario assumes a further more subdued economic recovery in 2027 and 2028, averaging 4.6% annually instead of 5% and 5.7%, respectively, in the baseline scenario,
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