Prediction market site Polymarket on Friday saw a surge in activity backing an early summer exit for FBI Director Kash Patel after an Iran -backed hacker group leaked a seeming decade of his personal and business emails . Prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket have surged in prominence over the past two years, drawing growing attention from investors, policymakers and the media as alternatives to traditional polling. These platforms allow users to buy and sell contracts tied to real‑