Homebuyers and owners hoping to refinance started 2026 with cautious optimism. Mortgage interest rates declined by around a full percentage point from January 2025 to January 2026, and while a Federal Reserve rate cut wasn't expected to start the year, many anticipated it would arrive later in 2026. But with the war with Iran, surging oil prices and a growing inflation rate, rates here reversed course. Under 6% as recently as mid-April, they increased by more than half a percentage point amid

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