Wall Street’s Big Bet on a Trump Win
Government
Photo: AFP via Getty Images On October 29, a week before the election, a California hedge-fund manager was letting me in on some of the trades he’s made ahead of the event. On that day, the odds of Donald Trump winning the presidency on Polymarket , the offshore betting site, had hit their highest level — 67 percent — since Kamala Harris entered the race. One of his picks, he said, was GEO Group, the private-prison company. It just so happened that GEO’s stock was trading in roughly the same
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