Leaders Need to Stop Pretending They Can Predict the Future

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In 2016, Geoffrey Hinton, one of the pioneers of modern artificial intelligence, made a bold prediction : "We should stop training radiologists now," he told the crowd at an industry conference in Toronto. "It's just completely obvious... it might be ten years, but we've got plenty of radiologists already." Well, it's 10 years later, and the Mayo Clinic, to take one example, employs 55% more radiologists than it did at the time of Hinton's prediction. The number of radiologists in the U.S. has

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