DP21157 Stimulating Avenues: EIB Loans and Returns to Public Investment
Mădălin Mihai
We study the macroeconomic effects of persistent public investment shocks using a local-projection instrumental-variables framework and European data. For identification we exploit European Investment Bank loans for public infrastructure projects and address potential endogeneity in loan approval with an inverse-probability-weighted regression-adjustment estimator. Public investment shocks raise employment and output in the medium term, without crowding out private investment and consumption,
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