Apparent drug overdose spike in 2025 driven by flawed modeling
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Northwestern University Apr 8 2026 Last June, several mainstream media outlets reported a surge in U.S. drug overdose deaths in early 2025 that was based on data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). A new Northwestern University study has found that surge was not real, and the apparent spike was a statistical modeling artifact, not a true reversal in overdose trends. In fact, the study found overdose deaths have continued to decline following a peak in August 2023,
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