Anthropic said the US can cement a one- to two-year AI lead against China — but only if it acts fast. The company laid out two possible scenarios for the AI landscape in 2028 in a lengthy Thursday post: one in which the US restricts China's access to American AI compute, and another in which it does not. Anthropic said China is closing the AI gap with the US through loose controls on chip exports and through distillation attacks, which involve using a developed AI model to train a smaller "