How Trump confounded the pundits
Donald Trump
What makes American politics abnormal is that partisanship has become akin to sectarianism It was supposed to be close. On the eve of election day, Donald Trump was up just 0.1 percent in the RealClearPolitics polling average. FiveThirtyEight projected a tiny Trump advantage. PredictIt had Kamala Harris ahead. A celebrated pollster ran 80,000 simulations, and Harris won 50.015 percent of them, versus 49.985 percent for Trump. And it made some sense to expect a close result. With the exception
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