BUDAPEST—Viktor Orban placed his bet early, and he placed it smartly. A decade ago, in early 2016 he made a beeline for Donald Trump, later agreeing with Trump’s description of them both as “ black sheep ” who would get on well. This was at a time when the Republican maverick was seen as a long shot for the U.S. presidency. “Orban had nothing to lose,” said Andras Biro-Nagy, director of Policy Solutions, a political research institute in Budapest. “He already had a terrible relationship with

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