DP19563 The Causal Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Households' Beliefs and Actions

Inflatie

We implement a survey-based randomized information treatment that generates independent variation in the inflation expectations and the uncertainty about future inflation of European households. This variation allows us to assess how both first and second moments of inflation expectations separately affect subsequent household decisions. We document several key findings. First, higher inflation uncertainty leads households to reduce their subsequent durable goods purchases for several months,

Tag-uri: Inflatie

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