DP19862 Household Beliefs about Fiscal Dominance

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We study beliefs about fiscal dominance in a survey of German households. We first use a randomized controlled trial to identify how fiscal news impact individual debt-to-GDP and inflation expectations. We document that the link between debt and inflation crucially depends on individuals’ views about the fiscal space. News leading individuals to expect higher debt-to-GDP ratios make them more likely to revise upward their inflation expectations. These average effects are due to individuals who

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DP19862 Household Beliefs about Fiscal Dominance https://cepr.org/ - 16.01.2025 21:58

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DP19862 Household Beliefs about Fiscal Dominance https://cepr.org/ - 16.01.2025 21:58