DP20691 Labor Markets, Financial Crises, and Inflation: Jobless and Wageless Recoveries

Inflatie

We document the macroeconomic patterns that characterize labor market recovery from financial crises. Using a sample of postwar recession episodes from around the world, we show that financial crises are typically followed by jobless recoveries, with a sluggish recovery in employment relative to output. A departure from this empirical regularity occurs in emerging-market crises with high inflation, which feature strong employment recoveries but persistent declines in real wages and result in “

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