DP21355 Carbon Pricing and Inflation Expectations
Inflatie
Putting a price on carbon emissions helps mitigate climate change but may also raise overall price inflation. Using high-frequency event studies based on regulatory news in the European carbon market, we show that carbon price surprises generate significant increases not only in energy futures prices, but also in inflation swap prices and breakeven inflation rates. These measures of market-based inflation expectations respond positively at both short and long horizons, with significant effects
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