The granular origins of inflation

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Textbook monetary economics views inflation as fundamentally driven by aggregate shocks, such as money supply or policy rates. This column presents empirical evidence that inflation is highly granular – it is significantly influenced by the prices set by a small number of large firms. Based on an analysis of 2.9 billion barcode-level transactions spanning 16 economies, it shows that firm-level idiosyncratic shocks account for a substantial share of inflation variability in advanced economies.

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The granular origins of inflation https://cepr.org/ - 26.11.2025 03:06

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The granular origins of inflation https://cepr.org/ - 26.11.2025 03:06