Seeking an answer to the question of who is winning the war between Israel, the United States, and Iran is understandable, but decidedly premature. Not only because the conflict is still ongoing, but above all because war is inherently a political phenomenon. It is a non-zero-sum game whose consequences often become apparent only over a longer period, measured not in months, but in years or even decades. A good example is the 2003 Iraq War. If one were to assess its course after just the first