Betting on conference tournaments always adds a layer of variance to handicapping a matchup. Narratives do play a role, but sometimes they are difficult to predict . The Horizon League tourney has reached the semifinals, and given its competitive balance near the top of the league, I prefer to side with teams playing better. No team is hotter than Robert Morris (22-10), which has won and covered in eight straight games. The second-seeded Colonials face third-seeded Detroit Mercy (16-14) on