Since 1997, the U.S. intelligence community has published the unclassified “ Global Trends ” report every four years to assess different scenarios for our global future and their likely impact on the United States. We can state confidently, having all served in senior national security positions in the U.S. government, that these reports provide a rare impetus for policymakers to shift their focus from their daily inboxes to the strategic threats on the horizon. They also provide a platform for