Will the Trump administration settle for a deal with Cuba that opens up key sectors of the economy to U.S. investors, including Cuban Americans? Or will it demand political concessions amounting to regime change? An economic deal is within the realm of possibility, since the Cuban government has been slowly—too slowly—moving in that direction already. But allowing the United States to dictate the shape of Cuba’s political future is almost certainly a bridge too far for Havana. A purely economic