The Brazilian effect is back with wins for both Wagner Moura and "The Secret Agent." Remember, the Hollywood guilds — the DGA , PGA , and SAG — reflect mostly American voting bodies. That’s why the Golden Globes and BAFTAs provide a better signal of where the Oscar voters are heading. As final voting opens January 12 and ends January 16, the Globes wins were influential if not predictive. To state the obvious: Motion Picture Comedy, Director, and Screenplay Globes winner “One Battle After