Climate scientists believe that a rare, strong El Niño —typically known as a “Super El Niño” could form in the coming months. Strong El Niños do not happen often—there have been only five since 1950, with the last taking place from 2015 to 2016. Scientists still aren’t sure whether an El Niño is certain this year, but the likelihood is increasing, with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicting on April 9 a 61% chance of an El Niño, and a one in four chance that it might be